魏云涛

副教授

yuntao_wei@fudan.edu.cn

研究兴趣

MJO人工智能模型，季风季节内变异与极端事件，MJO可预报性研究，MJO-日循环相互作用，MJO-ENSO相互作用，MJO-热带外相互作用，高分辨率数值模拟，气候模式试验，MJO与人体健康，南海海气相互作用

课题组长期招收博士后、博士和硕士研究生，欢迎有人工智能/深度学习背景的学生加入，一起探索季节内振荡动力学与可预报性问题，为国家次季节预报和防灾减灾贡献力量。

教育背景

2014-2019，中科院海洋研究所，物理海洋学，理学博士

2010-2014，河南大学，信息与计算科学，理学学士

研究经历

2025至今，复旦大学，副教授

2022至今，复旦大学，副研究员

2021-2022，中国气象科学研究院，研究助理

2019-2021，美国犹他大学，博士后

承担课题

国家自然科学基金委员会，青年科学基金项目（B类）[原优秀青年科学基金项目]，季节内振荡动力学与可预报性，2027-01至2029-12，主持

国家自然科学基金委员会, 面上项目, ENSO影响下的MJO第一类可预报性问题：基于CNOP-AI融合的智能优化研究，2026-01 至 2029-12，主持

上海人工智能实验室，首批AI4S攀登者行动计划项目，2025-06至2028-06，风乌-CNOP协同赋能：无缝隙天气气候预测的非线性优化范式革新，主持

国家科学技术部，重点研发计划项目，亚洲季风变异与极端天气气候，2025-12至2030-12，参与

复旦大学地球系统科学智能研究中心，基于CNOP-AI融合的MJO预报改进和极端事件S2S预测应用研究，2025，主持

国家自然科学基金委员会, 青年科学基金项目, 夏季季节内振荡东传湿过程垂直结构特征和演变机理研究，2024-01-01 至 2026-12-31，主持

大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室，开放课题，印度洋MJO触发多样性及其可预报性研究，2023-01-01到2024-12-31，主持  

上海市海洋-大气相互作用前沿科学研究基地，开放课题，大气目标观测，2022-01-01至2023-03-01，主持

国家自然科学基金委员会,面上项目,热带外大气季节内振荡与天气涡旋的双向反馈机制研究，2018-01-01 至 2021-12-31，参与

国家自然科学基金委员会, 青年科学基金项目, 源区黑潮流量季节性变化的可预报性和目标观测研究，2019-01-01 至 2021-12-31，参与

本科生教学经历

2023年暑期，《大气与海洋科学的行业创新与创业》，参与

2024-09至2024-12，《专业实习》，主讲

2024-09至2024-12，《强国之路：形势、政策与使命III》，主讲

2025-09至2025-12，《强国之路：形势、政策与使命IV》，课程负责人

2026至今，《流体力学》，主讲，课程负责人

研究生教学经历

2023-01至2024-12，《大气科学专业英语》，主讲

2023-09至今，《大气科学理论研究进展》，参与

2023-09至今，《大气科学模拟与预测研究进展》，参与

2024-09至今，《季节内振荡动力学》，主讲

2024-09至今，《海气相互作用前沿》，参与

奖励与荣誉

2026年国家级青年人才计划

2023年上海市青年领军（海外）人才

气候变化英语课程教学团队奖

学术和社会兼职

担任Atmospheric and Climate Sciences编委

担任《地球科学进展》“次季节变率：机制、影响、预测”专栏召集人

担任《气象学报》“次季节至年际变率与极端天气气候”专栏召集人

担任Journal of Climate副编辑

担任Weather and Forecasting副编辑

在十余种SCI杂志担任同行评审：Science Advances, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Journal of Climate, Climate Dynamics, Weather and Forecasting, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Monthly Weather Reviewer等

复旦大学2021级本科生希德书院导师

复旦大学2021级本科生班主任

复旦大学2022级研究生辅导员

教材编写

《气候动力学导论》，第五章“热带季节内变异”

发表论文

（本人名称加粗，通讯作者加*号）

To be submitted：

 1. Wei, Yuntao; Guo, Zijie; Ren, Hong-Li; Fenghua, Ling; Liu, Han; Zhou, Wen; Wang, Guihua. 2026: Phase-Dependent Change of MJO and Observational-Constraint Projection in a Warming Climate.

 2. Ji, Chaopeng; Wei, Yuntao*; Mu, Mu; Huang, Yunda; Qin, Bo; Ren, Hong-Li. 2026. An Explainable Study of MJO Prediction in an AI-CNOP Framework.

 3. Zhu, Yongkang; Ren, Hong-Li*; Wei, Yuntao*; Wang, Yuwen. 2026. Intensity Asymmetry between MJO Dry and Wet Phases.

 4. Wang, Yunwen; Ren, Hong-Li*; Wei, Yuntao*. 2026. ENSO Combination Mode and La Niña Modulate the Intraseasonal Evolution of Wintertime MJO Intensity via Distinct Energetic Pathways

Published:

魏云涛，任宏利*，汪小云，王玉雯. 2026. 中国东南部湿球黑球温度的季节内变率：主导模态与驱动机制. 气象学报

 Chen, Aijia; Wei, Yuntao*; Xia, Wenwen; Zhou, Wen; Wang, Yong; Liu, Han; Ren, Hong-Li. 2026. The Dryness Control of MJO Emergence. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

Huang, Yunda; Wei, Yuntao*; Ren, Hong-Li*; Zhou, Wen. 2026. BSISO Eastward Propagation across the Maritime Continent: Insights from Diagnostic Analysis of MJOTF/GASS Models. Journal of Meteorological Research.

Wei, Yuntao; Liu, Han; Ren, Hong-Li. 2026. Predictability Limit of RMM Index Modulated by Diverse ENSO Events. Geophysical Research Letters

Ji, Chaopeng; Wei, Yuntao*; Qin, Bo; Mu, Mu; Ren Hong-Li*. 2026. MJO Initiation Predictability in an AI-CNOP Framework: Unraveling Precursor Signals of Primary MJO Events. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, DOI: 10.1007/s00376-026-6133-2

Wang, Xiaoyun; Duan, Wansuo*; Wei, Yuntao*. 2026. A novel insight into MJO predictability: initial errors can trigger a prediction barrier over the maritime continent. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, DOI: 10.1038/s41612-026-01370-3

 Yang, Yanru; Feng, Jie; Zhu, Yuejian; Wei, Yuntao; Li, Jianping. 2026. Comparison of Sub-seasonal Predictive skill from the CFS and GEFS Operational Systems at NCEP and the Impact of Bias Correction. Weather and Forecasting. DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-25-0134.1

 Ji, Chaopeng; Mu, Mu*; Qin, Bo; Lian, Tao; Yuan Shijin; Feng, Jie; Song, X; Wei, Yuntao; Dai, Guokun; Wang, Jie. 2025. Toward skillful forecasting of super El Niño events using a diffusion-based westerly wind burst parameterization. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8 (1), 273.

Wang, Yuwen; Ren, Hong-Li*; Wei, Yuntao*; et al. 2025. Modulation of the Indian Ocean Basin Mode on the MJO during Boreal Summer. Climate Dynamics

Huang, Yunda; Wei, Yuntao*; Ren, Hong-Li*. 2025. Modulation of ENSO on the MJO Forecast. Atmospheric Research, 330, 108510.

Liu, Han; Wei, Yuntao*; Ren, Hong-Li*; Fang, Xianghui. 2025. Asymmetric modulation of MJO by two types of ENSO. Journal of Climate.

Wei, Y.*, Mu, M., Lian, T., Hsu, H.-H., Ren, H.-L., Wang, J., Ji, C., Tao, L. (2025). The March 2023 MJO and its impacts on the subsequent coastal El Niño. Journal of Climate, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0198.1

Qin, B., Yang, Z., Mu, M.*, Wei, Y., Cui, Y., Fang, X., Dai, G., and Yuan, D. (2024). The first kind of predictability problem of El Niño predictions in a multivariate coupled data‐driven model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, DOI: 10.1002/qj.4882

Wei, Y., and Ren, H-L* (2024). MJO Seasonality in Its Scale Selection: Perspectives from Space-Time Spectral Analysis of Moisture Budget. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, DOI: 10.1029/2023JD039645

Wei, Y., Ren, H. L.*, Xiang, B., et al. (2024). Forecasting the "Storm King". The Madden-Julian oscillation's diverse genesis and predictability, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0101.1

Wei, Y.*, Ren, H-L*, Duan, W., and Sun, G. (2024). MJO-equatorial Rossby wave interferences in the tropical intraseasonal oscillation. Climate Dynamics, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-024-07380-2

Wei, Y., Ren, H-L*, Duan, W., and Sun, G. (2023). Westward-Propagating Disturbances Shape Diverse MJO Propagation. DOI: 10.1029/2023GL104778

Wei, Y., Ren, H. L.*, Xiang, B., et al., 2023: Diverse MJO Genesis and Predictability, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0101.1（被BAMS杂志选为研究亮点）

Ren, H. L.*, Wei, Y. (共同一作), and Zhao, S. (2022). Low-Frequency Variability in the Real-time Multivariate MJO Index: Real or Artificial? Journal of Climate, 36, 2073-2089, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0368.1

Wei, Y., and Ren, H. L.* (2022). Distinct MJOs under the Two Types of La Niña. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127, e2022JD037646, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037646

Wei, Y., Liu, F.*, H-L Ren, G. Chen, C. Feng, and B. Chen, 2022: Western Pacific premoistening for eastward-propagating BSISO and its ENSO modulation. Journal of Climate, 35, 4979–4996, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0923.1

Wei Y., and Z. Pu*, 2021: Moisture variation with cloud effects during a BSISO over the eastern maritime continent in a cloud-permitting-scale simulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 78(6), 1869-1888, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0210.1

Wei, Y., and Z. Pu*, 2021: Diurnal cycle of precipitation and near-surface atmospheric conditions over the maritime continent: land-sea contrast and impacts of ambient winds in cloud-permitting simulations. Climate Dynamics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06012-3

Wei, Y., Z. Pu*, and C. Zhang, 2020: Diurnal cycle of precipitation over the maritime continent under modulation of MJO: perspectives from cloud‐permitting scale simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125(13): e2020JD032529, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD032529

Wei, Y., H-L Ren*, Mu M, and Fu X, 2020: Nonlinear optimal moisture perturbations as excitation of primary MJO events in a hybrid coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 2020, 54(1-2): 675-699, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05021-7

Wei Y., and HL Ren*, 2019: Modulation of ENSO on fast and slow MJO modes during boreal winter. Journal of Climate, 32(21): 7483-7506, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0013.1

Wei Y., M Mu*, HL Ren, and X Fu, 2019: Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations of moisture triggering primary MJO initiation. Geophysical Research Letters, 46. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081755

Wei Y., F Liu*, M Mu, and HL Ren, 2018: Planetary scale selection of the Madden–Julian Oscillation in an air-sea coupled dynamic moisture model. Climate Dynamics, 50(9-10): 3441-3456, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3816-5

Wang Y., H.-L. Ren*, Y. Wei, F.-F. Jin, P. Ren, L. Gao, and J. Wu, 2022: MJO Phase Swings Modulate the Recurring Latitudinal Shifts of the 2020 Extreme Summer-monsoon Rainfall around Yangtze. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, e2021JD036011, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD036011

Wang H, Wei Y., and Liu F*, 2017: Effect of spatial variation of convective adjustment time on the Madden-Julian Oscillation: a theoretical model analysis. Atmosphere, 8, 204

Bai, L., Ren, H. L., Wei, Y., Wang, Y., & Chen, B. (2022). Influence of Madden–Julian Oscillation on Precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau in Boreal Summer. Atmosphere, 14(1), 70.

Guo Y, Li Y*, Wang F, and Wei Y., 2021: Ocean Salinity Aspects of the Ningaloo Niño. Journal of Climate, 2020, 34(15): 6141-6161.

Guo Y, Li Y*, Wang F, Wei Y., and Xia Q, 2020: Importance of resolving mesoscale eddies in the model simulation of Ningaloo Niño. Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, 47(14): e2020GL087998.

Guo Y, Li Y*, Wang F, and Wei Y., 2020: Processes controlling sea surface temperature variability of Ningaloo Niño. Journal of Climate, 2020, 33(10): 4369-4389.

Hao X, HL Ren*, W Zhang, M Liu, and Wei Y., 2019: Diagnosing the spatialtemporal diversity of westerly wind events in the tropical Pacific. Dynamics of Atmosphere and Oceans, 86: 90-103.

Huang K, HL Ren*, X Liu, P Ren, Wei Y., and M. Mu, 2019: Parameter modulation of Madden-Julian Oscillation behaviors in BCC_CSM1.2: the key role of moisture-shallow convection feedback. Atmosphere, 10, 241, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos10050241

#以上信息由本人提供，更新时间：2026/08/27